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Jerry & Suzee Bailey

It’s Post Time!

Join our COFFEEBREAKWITHFRIENDS

Table of Discussion with

2 time Kentucky Derby, Preakness,

and Belmont Stakes Winner,

(plus 15 BC wins, including 5 Classics!) 

Jerry Bailey, and his wife Suzee,

who will bring you up-to-date BREEDERS’ CUP  2018 NEWS

on all the big races and events throughout

this spectacular weekend of thoroughbred horse racing!

And don’t forget to share your favorite picks or questions

in the comment area below…

or visit Jerry or Suzee on Twitter or Facebook!

http://@jerrydbailey

coffeebreakwithfriends  

or e-mail us at:

coffeebreakwithfriendswebsite@gmail.com

We look forward to hearing from you!  

 

BREEDERS’ CUP 2018!

HOW TO WATCH

 

10/29/2018

Big fields and big names

the theme at draw

for 35th Breeders’ Cup

Emily Shields
Pacific Classic winner Accelerate
was made the 5-2 morning-line favorite for the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Five previous Breeders’ Cup race winners, a two-time winner of the Arc de Triomphe, a pair of Kentucky Oaks winners, and a pair of Travers winners were among the 191 horses entered Monday in the 14 Breeders’ Cup races that will be run Friday and Saturday at Churchill Downs.

Posts for all the races were drawn on Monday night, and seven of the 14 ended up with so many entrants that also-eligibles were needed, including the richest race of all, the $6 million Classic on Saturday. Nine of the 14 fields have the maximum number of runners. The smallest field is nine, in the Sprint, in which Roy H will try to defend his title.

In addition to Roy H, Stormy Liberal will be back to try and win the Turf Sprint for the second straight year, as will Talismanic in the Turf. Oscar Performance tries to add the Mile to a resume that includes the 2016 Juvenile Turf. And Mendelssohn goes in the Classic after winning the Juvenile Turf last year.

This will be the 35th Breeders’ Cup, which was first run in 1984. In the previous 34 years, no horse ever has won a race on turf and a race on dirt, a feat Mendelssohn will try to accomplish.

The biggest star of the weekend may be the star European filly Enable, a two-time winner of the Arc de Triomphe, who goes in the Turf on Saturday. She is the weekend’s shortest-priced favorite on the lines of both Mike Battaglia of Churchill Downs, at even-money, and Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper, who has her even shorter, at 4-5.

The Distaff features a matchup between Abel Tasman, last year’s Kentucky Oaks winner, and Monomoy Girl, this year’s winner.

And the Classic, which has numerous top-class horses from the United States and Europe, includes the last two Travers winners, Catholic Boy and West Coast.

Monday marked the last of a two-stage entry process. Last week, horses were pre-entered, and at the time could be put in up to two races. Monday was decision day for those cross-entered. Horses had to be entered in a single race that morning, and then posts for the 14 races were drawn later Monday.

A maximum of 14 horses can start in each Breeders’ Cup race, with the exception of the new Juvenile Turf Sprint, which is limited to 12 runners. The Juvenile Turf Sprint has a full field of 12, with four also-eligibles. The other races that oversubscribed at entry time could have no more than two also-eligibles, meaning a maximum of 16 could be entered in any race.

Scratch time for all 14 Breeders’ Cup races is 8 a.m. Eastern Friday. After that, also-eligibles cannot get in.

The Breeders’ Cup is returning to Churchill Downs for the first time since the track played host to the event in consecutive years, 2010 and 2011. This is the ninth time Churchill Downs will host the Breeders’ Cup.

The Classic is the finale on a Saturday card that also includes, in order, the Filly and Mare Sprint, Turf Sprint, Dirt Mile, Filly and Mare Turf, Sprint, Mile, Distaff, and Turf.

Watchmaker made the line for the Saturday races and has as his favorites Marley’s Freedom (2-1) in the Filly and Mare Sprint, Stormy Liberal (7-2) in the Turf Sprint, Catalina Cruiser (7-5) in the Dirt Mile, Wild Illusion (3-1) in the Filly and Mare Turf, Imperial Hint (2-1) in the Sprint, Polydream (4-1) in the Mile, Monomoy Girl (2-1) in the Distaff, Enable (4-5) in the Turf, and Accelerate (7-2) in the Classic.

Battaglia has as favorites in those races Marley’s Freedom (8-5) in the Filly and Mare Sprint, Disco Partner (7-2) in the Turf Sprint, Catalina Cruiser (8-5) in the Dirt Mile, Sistercharlie (3-1) in the Filly and Mare Turf, Imperial Hint (9-5) in the Sprint, Polydream (5-1) in the Mile, Monomoy Girl (2-1) in the Distaff, Enable (1-1) in the Turf, and Accelerate (5-2) in the Classic.

The new Juvenile Turf Sprint commences a Future Stars Friday card whose five Breeders’ Cup races are all for 2-year-olds. The Juvenile Turf Sprint will be followed, in order, by the Juvenile Fillies Turf, Juvenile Fillies, Juvenile Turf, and Juvenile.

Brad Free, Daily Racing Form’s Southern California-based handicapper, made the prices for the Friday races. His favorites are Soldier’s Call (7-2) in the Juvenile Turf Sprint, Newspaperofrecord (2-1) in the Juvenile Fillies Turf, Bellafina (8-5) in the Juvenile Fillies Anthony Van Dyck (4-1) in the Juvenile Turf, and Game Winner (5-2) in the Juvenile.

Battaglia’s morning-line favorites in those races are Strike Silver (4-1) in the Juvenile Turf Sprint, Newspaperofrecord (2-1) in the Juvenile Fillies Turf, Bellafina (2-1) in the Juvenile Fillies, Anthony Van Dyck (4-1) in the Juvenile Turf, and Game Winner (8-5) in the Juvenile.


 

Jerry’s Picks!

Breeder’s Cup 2018 Analysis and Picks

JUVENILE TURF SPRINT

This should be a very entertaining race from front to back.

  • Soldiers Call– never been out of the money.. 4 wins including a gr2 & 3 and just missed in his last( gr 1) and should be up near the lead
  • Shang Shang Shang– will be on the lead but hasn’t run since June at Ascot where he just held on over Pocket Dynamo
  • Bulletin-will be on or close to the lead as well.. Pletcher missed a maiden race with him so went to GP and won the stake
  • Queen of Burmuda– second to Soldier’s Call art 5 fur four races back then won Gr 3 with fillies at 6, then 7thin gr 1 (So Perfect 3rd), then 2nda week after the Arc in gr 2.. runs mid pack
  • So Perfect– she’s been running against tougher.. won a gr3 at 6 fur, then 2ndand 3rdin gr ones last two races beaten less than a length.. she will be mid pack to stalking and should attack Soldier’s Call mid stretch

It’s So Perfect in Navan for O’Brien and Moore

My Top 3 Picks…

 1. So Perfect..

2. Soldiers Call

3. Sergie Prokofiev


JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

 

American Based fillies have dominated this race even more than the Euro’s have the Colt division winning eight  of the ten runnings with Chad Brown taking four including the last two and he has one of the favorites again this year in Newspaperofrecord. She’s two for two and both over yielding ground at Belmont. Aidan O’Brien has a good one in the likes of Just Wonderful, winner of three races this season… then we get to the grade one winners like La Pelosa(Euro shipper won the Natalma in Canada) and Lily’s Candlepurchased by American Marty Schartz the day before she won in France on Arc day. There also two other undefeated fillies in here Concrete RoseandEast…. No winner has lead gate to wire

 

Newspaperofrecord Dominates

 

My Top 3 Picks…

1.Newspaperofrecord

2.Just Wonderful

3.Lily’s Candle


JUVENILE FILLIES

Historically the running style of the winner of this race has no bias.

Especially at CD. Of the eight times run over this track,

1 filly went gate to wire(Dreaming of Anna),

3 won stalking within a few lengths,

2 won from mid pack and 2 were dead closers.

Bellafina Pummels Sorrento

My Top 3 Picks…

1.Bella Fina

2.Restless Rider

3.Serengati Empress


JUVENILE TURF 

 

The Euro’s have dominated in this race taking 7 of the 11 runnings with trainer  Aidan O’Brien and his stable jockey Ryan Moore winning four, including two of the last three.

O’Brien has the lukewarm favorite in Anthony Van Dyck and  although he seemed to have the edge in here by a small margin, that may have vanished the moment he drew post 14.  O’Brien won this two years ago from the post 14 with Hit it a Bomb so it’s not impossible but it’s a taller mountain to climb. Another Euro worth a look is Marie’s Diamond. This colt has some early speed even though he was squeezed at the start two races back he came back  and ran a great second. The biggest question mark is distance since he’s never race beyond 6 furlongs.  As for the American based horses, Trainer Todd Pletcher’s Current seems to be getting better as the races get longer and he comes off a closing win in the Bourbon stakes at Keeneland a month ago. Forty Underhas won both his grass races and comes off a win in the Pilgrim stakes. Uncle Benny  is also worth a look with two wins in two races and the two couldn’t have been more different. Went straight to the lead in his maiden race at 5/8. Then switched to the turf at 6 and came from last, circled 5 wide and came flying to win.

Euros 7 wins…US Based 4 wins

Galileo’s Anthony Van Dyck Takes the Tyros

My Top 3 Picks…

1. Anthony Van Dyck..

2. Line Of Duty.

3. Current. Forty Under


JUVENILE

 

Fun facts:

  • in the 8 previous Juveniles at CD no CA invaders have won. NY -3, KY -3 and foreign 2….
  • 2012 Shanghi Bobby the last fav to win..
  • fav been second 8 times
  • 6 times winner lead gate to wire..if you count Is it True (lost lead between calls) then 7 and twice at CD
  • Winning strategy at CD.. Wire to wire twice
  • Stalkers won three times
  • Dead closers three times..

This year’s Juvenile seems to come down to the two unbeaten colts in Complexity(2 for 2) trained by Chad Brown and Game Winner (3 for 3) trained by two time Triple Crown winner Bob Baffert  with both running about equally as fast in their races. Complexity has never run around two turns while Game Winnerhas, plus Complexity’s pedigree suggests that longer is not better while Game winner’s pedigree suggests he could get better as he races longer distances son the edge goes to Game Winner.

Another to be aware of, is Code of Honorwho stumbled badly at the start of the Champagne causing him to come from last (he broke his maiden on the lead at 6 fur) ,circling the field and still ran a solid second to Complexity and the added distance would certainly help this colt’s cause but he will have to overcome post 11.

Well Defined, a winner in two of his four starts is an interesting colt . He won the restricted Florida Stallion stakes at 1 1/16 by over 7 running the third fastest race in the field but I question the quality of his competitors in that race so this will be the acid test for him and he does get Mike Smith aboard for this race. He has been winning  on the lead but through slow fractions and he will face a much faster pace in the BC so he may have to change to a stalker.

Game Winner Exactly That in G1 Del Mar Futurity

My Favorites…

1.Game Winner

2.Code Of Honor

3.Complexity


The F&M Sprint and Turf Sprint are only on Facebook Live

so I haven’t included those in this document.

FILLY & MARE SPRINT


TURF SPRINT

 


DIRT MILE

 

This could be the best race of the BC with Catalina Cruiser and City of Light and even Firenze Fireand Seeking the Soul could be upset possibilities. Catalina Cruiser is undefeated in four career starts  and has the speed to take this gate to wire . He is trained by John Sadler who is 0-41 in the BC but this may be his best chance ever, and ridden by 24 year old Drayden Van Dyke who is looking for his first BC win.

City Of Lightowned by William Warren who owned 2005 BC Classic winner St Liam, and trained by Michael McCarthy who is in his very first BC . This is the only horse to beat Accelerate this year and rattled off three wins in a row including two grade ones earlier this year . He then tried to stretch his speed out to a mile and a quarter in the SA Gold Cup but faded to third late in the race. In his last start at Saratoga in the 7 furlong Forego, he  had the outside post was seven wide in an eight horse field and only beaten less than 2 lengths by Whitmore who got through on the rail. These two could hook up out of the gate , each trying to gain the edge but possibly setting  things up for a closer like Firenze Fire who won the Dwyer in a similar set up or even Seeking the Soulwho hasn’t run quite as fast as the afore mentioned horses but has two wins in three races at this distance over this track.

CITY OF LIGHTS

My Top  4 Favorites:

1. City Of Light

2.Catalina Cruiser

3.Firenze Fire

4.Seeking the Soul


FILLY & MARE TURF

F & M Turf-

US based 10 wins, Euro 9 wins including last two( won as fav only 4 of 9)

As in the past three years it’s Chad Brown versus the Europeans. Although he had the favorite and multiple entrants in the last two years, he failed to win , but not to worry, he’s a three time BC  F&M Turf winner. This year he has four and possibly the favorite in Sister Charlieor Fourstars Crookas both as really solid and very close in talent. Sister Charlie has a two to one win advantage over Fourstar Crook in their  three meetings but SC carried two pounds less in one of her victories and was equally weighted in the other two but in this race she concedes four pounds to FC and while FC has won over less than firm turf, Sister Charlie has not..and the turf is expected to be way  less than firm..The biggest threats to team Brown will be the Euro’s. The Prix De ‘Lopera winner Wild Illusionand runner up Magic Wand. Wild Illusion has won gr ones in her last two while Magic Wand has yet to get there in that grade of race but head to head is even at one win apiece.

Magic Wand was too good for Forever Together Picture:Photo by Alan Crowhurst

My Top 4 Picks:

1.Magic Wand

2.Wild Illusion

3.Fourstar Crook

4.Sister Charlie


SPRINT

 

  • 3 yo win at the same percentage as older horses in the sprint relative to how many have run.. 9 wins in the 34 runnings.. 3 of the 8times at CD…
  • twice this race was won gate to wire(25%) same as average for entire BC..
  • none of the 8 times here at CD has the first ½ been sub 44
  • CA based horse have won 4 of the 8 CD sprints…with *on Reraise

One of the shorter priced favorites on the card will be Imperial Hintand justifiably so. He’s almost unbeatable at 6 furlongs winning  8 of 11 and was the runner up in last year’s edition at Del Mar won by Roy H.He can lead  or rate just off the early pace which gives him options and he has run faster than any other horse in the race with the exception of Roy H.. And speaking of the defending champ…defending champs that competed in the sprint  the following year.. Midnight Lute is the only one to do so

Promises Fulfilled is a very talented 3 yo and is two for two at six furlongs ,most recently beating older horses in the Phoenix at Keeneland a month ago. He is really fast but his best race was the Amsterdam where he eased back just a bit of the torrid early pace and won going away. He should be the fastest of the fast in here nbut will certainly get pressure from Imperial Hint soon out of the gate.If  the speed materializes and Roy H like past defending champs fails to deliver then maybe a horse likeLimousine Liberal  who is almost unbeatable at Churchill Downs (6 for 8) and runs four or five lengths off the pace and Whitmorewho closes later in the race have a chance. Whitmore’s chances took a turn for the worst when he drew the rail which is the worst post for the sprint and mile races mainly because of all the traffic that usually collapses around any horse making the navigation through traffic all the harder.

Imperial Hint

My Top 3:

1. Imperial Hint

2. Limo Liberal

3 Promises Fulfilled


 

As Usual the Europeans have the best horses in this race again this year. Poly Dreamis the likely choice in the race but must beat One Master, Happily  and I Can Fly to win. Poly Dream has won two of her last three races and was severely compromised(traffic troubles) in her loss at Longchamp. Happily has been some of Europe’s best milers in the likes of Laurens, Alpha Centauri and Roaring lion.I Can Flycame flying in her last race to narrowly lose to Roaring Lion while only getting one pound(one of Europe’s best) at Ascot only two weeks ago over a turf soft course and that effort could have taken a lot out of her . One Masteralso comes off a win over a soft course in her last race and with so much rain in the forecast, she have a similar surface . Expert Eye has been solid in the grade 3 races and runner up in the grade one Sussex stakes in August. Was freshened  specifically to travel and compete here. Oscar Performancewho led but faded badly in the longer BC Turf last year drops back in distance this year after winning two of his three 2018 races, both at one mile. What’s puzzling is his failure to finish the Arlington Million (pulled up and vanned off).He’s the likely pace setter and maybe gets away with an easy lead through a very moderate pace but keep in mind that only one horse in history has won the Mile on the lead from  start to finish and that was Lure in 1992 and again the following year in 93.

Poly Dream, Happily and I Can Fly all carry 120..

One Master, Expert Eye, Gustav Klimt and Analyze 123

  1. Poly Dream (3 yo filly)– Won the Prix Maurice  at 6 ½  two back in mid August from about 5  off the lead, stayed covered until 3/16  and furious rush last 100 yards…. Came back  Oct 7 had a nightmare trip in the Prix d Foret.. and could have been the best horse.. she won her two prior..grade two(7fur on good grnd)) and one( 6 ½ over soft) respectively.. she’s zero for two at one mile and she’s never turned left handed..
  2. I Can Fly(3yo fily)-Only 2 for 8 this year but won gr 2 at Leptwn and was a fast closing second to Roaring Lion at Ascot in latest race only getting one pound…Does all her running the last quarter and handles any ground.
  • One Master( 4 yo mare)-this fily just won the Gr 1 Prix de Foret closing from about 5 lengths off the pace at 7 against males over what was listed as a firm turf  but relishes soft ground …, so she would benefit the most by a wet turf course. Also she has never run beyond 7.
  1. Lightning Spear- at 7 yo he’s definitely the old man in here.. after 16 tries in graded races he finally got the gr 1 win  three races back on Aug 1 in the Sussex stakes beating Expert Eye and Gustav Klimt over good ground at a mile… Was a very good third beaten a neck at Ascot in June, broke on top , eased back to track a couple off the pace and moved at the 3/16.. maybe a bit too soon.. needs to wait until inside the 1/8 pole if properly positioned…finished 5that Longchamp on Sept 9 behind Recoletos, Wind Chimes and Expert Eye with no apparent excuse.
  • Expert Eye-pretty much a grade three horse in Europe( both wins this year in gr 3) but not far behind the best(3rdto Recoletos and second to lightning Spear after missing the break by two lengths).. both wins on good to firm
  1. Gustav Klimpt-most recently 4thin the Prix de Foret with some late traffic(behind the wall of the first three) and wasn’t punished as a result, but only beaten a length and a half..won at Leo in April over soft ground he didn’t like.. great closing second form 6 or 7 off the early pace at Ascot in June. Sept 8 race at 6 fur was last early closed well to be third to Tin Man…Like Poly Dream, he’s zero for five at one mile and has never turned left handed.
  • Happily( 3yo filly)-won two grade 1’s coming into the BC lst yr and was 14thin the Juv Filly turf.. winless this year in 6 outs.. not nearly as good as a 3 yo.. so far this year but she seems to be rounding into better form …was fractious in the gate pre race Champions day and was a very late scratch

 

  1. Catapult- was trained by Chad Brown last year, then sent to Sadler after is race last Sept…two wins and a second since making the transition to the west coast… and last a win in the gr 2 Del Mar Mile was his career best, so he is getting  good now..comes from mid pack
  2. Oscar Performance-set the pace in the NC Turf last year but faded badly late so this year he came back in his June debut with a win in the one mile Poker stakes at Belmont.. then “pulled up” in the Arlington Million.. came back a month later to wire the field with a slow pace win in the Woodbine Mile..he should control the pace in here without a suicidal pace and has won on yielding ground in the Pilgrim stakes at Belmont as a two year old

 

 

Polydream collars James Garfield

My Top 3 Picks:

With the scratch of Poly Dream, here are the updated picks

 1. Expert Eye.

2 Gustav Klimt

3. Oscar Performance


DISTAFF

 When I try to rate a horse’s performance in a given race, I go on the assumption  they will all run their best race.. obviously that doesn’t materialize most of the time for various reasons  but if you did that in here it would be Able Tasman. On her best day against all other’s on their respective best days, she would win because she’s has run the fastest. But she has had some tactical issues in the form of being uncontrollable during the middle portion of races and moved far too soon against the wishes of her jockey Mike Smith and although she has won in spite of that, it has also cost her the win before, so when Baffert came with the statement “shoe needs to be in the race early..I’m telling MiKe to put her in the race early, I makes me wonder how she will settle during the early to middle part of the race? She does have good races up close so perhaps her style will close up now even though she won the KY Oaks from last place..She does come off a bad effort in her last race at Santa Anita however she was likely a victim of the “bug” that affected many of Bob Baffert’s horses in September. Her last ten races have all been gr 1’s and she won half of them..  she’s really consistent.  She has a win and a fourth at this track but her win was in the KY Oaks here last year at this distance .The three year old Monomoy Girlis the  main competition  to Able Tasman and it’s a matchup between two KY Oaks winners.. Last year’s and this year’s winners. Monomoy girl is three for four her at Churchill Downs and eight of ten lifetime and could easily be undefeated with some luck. She wins most of her races stalking the lead but has won taking it gate to wire and from last to first . She has a bad habit of losing some focus when she makes the lead too early and she doesn’t seem to like to be hit with the whip(who does?), so her jockey Florent Geroux needs to judge his move carefully.

Midnight Bisouhas five wins in her eight starts this year but has yet to finish in front of Monomoy Girl in their three matchups. She was awarded first over that rival in their last race at Parx on Sept 22 for alleged interference in the stretch but I happen to think it was a bad call . There was never any contact and  in my opinion Midnight Bisou wouldn’t have run by Monomoy Girl if they went around the track again. If there is one other that merits consideration it would be Blue Prizewho is having a great year in her own right . She hasn’t run as fast as the top three but  she has won four of her last five races including two at Churchill Downs where her top efforts have taken place . She won the Spinster in her last race even after swerving right in mid-stretch.

Monomoy Girl

My Top 3

1.Monomoy Girl

2.Able Tasman

       3.Blue Prize


TURF

 

All eyes will be on Enable trying to be the first horse to the Arc De Triomphe and the BC Turf in the same season and she should be able to pull it off. One of the reasons this feat has yet to be accomplished is that most Europeans horses compete hard all season and are tired horses after the grueling mile and a half distance usually over demanding conditions of the Arc however since Enable was injured and unraced this year until September, she has only had two races and actually may just hitting her peak for the year, plus she is just better than all the others in this race. Also in her corner are four time BC turf winning jockey Frankie Dettori and legendary trainer John Gosden who has four BC wins to his name however he’s 0-7 in this particular BC race. Enable handles any turf condition has enough early speed to be placed wherever Frankie chooses and from post two she should be just behind  Glorious Empire, Channel Maker and Hi Happy .. The biggest threats to Enable would be other Europeans and let’s start with

Magicalwho is not to be overlooked in here coming off her second win of the season in the Gr1 British Champions stakes  just two weeks ago over Coronet and La Ti Dar(two exceptional fillies). The BC will be her third race in a month plus travel but she had only two races before that in mid-April and July22 so she’s not over raced. From post five she has options but most likely will track just in behind Enable mid pack .

Waldgeisttrained by three time BC turf winner Andre Fabre who won this race last year with Talismatic. This horse has won four of his six 2018 races including a gr 1. Those wins  were all at 1 ½ and turf ranging from soft to firm so he handles all ground. His style varies from mid back to  far back so an honest early pace will help his chances and that should come from Glorious Empire, followed by Channel Maker and Hi Happy. With the disadvantageous 12 post he will likely need to come from far back as he did in the Arc even though he would prefer to be mid pack .

The best American chance would come from Robert Bruce trained by Chad Brown who is 0-9 in this race. Robert Bruce came to Brown from Chile where he was six for six with four grade 1 wins. He won his debut here in May, should have won the grade 1 Manhattan but was stuck behind a wall of horses throughout the stretch and only beaten one length. He then Won the Arlington Million and was second  to Channel Maker in the Joe Hirsh stakes at Belmont on Sept 29 over a soft turf which seems to be a negative for him. With that in mind and the strong chance of rain BC week in Kentucky, he could be compromised buy the turf condition.

 

Enable looked good in red-hot finish

My Top 3 Picks:

1. Enable..

2. Waldgeist..

3.Magical

 


 

 THE  CLASSIC

There is really no horse in this race that has no weaknesses.

The favorite Acceleratehas had a great year and although he is coming off a winning effort , that effort was his weakest of the year, so is he “over the top”?

West coast has run faster than any horse in the race but with only two races this year and only one prep race since the end of March, is he fit enough? Also Mike Smith goes toMcKinziefor Baffert.

Mckinzie  only once beaten and was Baffert’s best 3 yo before Justify came along, comes off a career best in his win of the Penn Derby but he’s was off longer than West Coast(March 10) so is that enough ? Also does he really want to go a mile and a quarter? Smith thinks so apparently.

Mind your Biscuitsalso comes off a career best effort winning the Lukas stakes at a 1 1/8 but that seems to be a stretch for the former sprinter so can he add another 1/8 and be  an effective closer?

Catholic Boywas brilliant winning the Travers but hasn’t raced since and he must improve quite a bit off that to win this race and he will have a lot of company up close to the lead from the Travers runner up Mendelssohn and Thunder Snow who got a perfect set up in the Gold Cup and couldn’t win and the water gets deeper here so his task is even harder. Plus, drawing post 3 he will likely get outrun for the lead by a few outside of him meaning he will find himself behind some horses taking the dirt  kickback, something he hasn’t handled well in the past .Mendelssohnwas hard used a little bit early in the Belmont Gold Cup and still hung in pretty well. But like Thunder Snow, the water gets deeper here and he would need to get an easy lead to have a chance here and with Mckinzie in the race that is unlikely to happen.

 

Champion West Coast

My Top 4 Picks:

1.West Coast

2.Mckinzie

3.Accelerate

4.Mind Your Biscuits


Suzee’s Favorites…:)

Friday:

JUVENILE TURF SPRINT

My Top 3 Picks…

 1. So Perfect..

2.Sergie Prokofiev

3. Shang Shang Shang

JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

My Top 3 Picks…

1.Just Wonderful

2.Newspaperofrecord

3.Lily’s Candle

JUVENILE TURF

My Top 3 Picks…

1. Anthony Van Dyck..

2. Line Of Duty

3. Uncle Benny

JUVENILE

My Top 3…

1.Code Of Honor

2.Game Winner

3.Derby Date

Saturday:

DIRT MILE

My Top 3 Favorites:

1. City Of Light

2.Catalina Cruiser

3.Seeking the Soul

FILLIE & MARE TURF

Had to go with 4 here…couldn’t help throwing in Athena!

1.Magic Wand

2.Wild Illusion

3.Athena 

4.Sister Charlie

SPRINT

My Top 4:

1. Imperial Hint

2. Limo Liberal

3. Promises Fulfilled

4. Warriors Club

MILE

My Top 3 Picks:

1. Expert Eye

2.One Master

3. Mustashry

DISTAFF

My Top 3

1.Able Tasman

2.Monomoy Girl

       3.Blue Prize

TURF

I like 4 here:

1.Magical

2. Enable..

3. Waldgeist..

4.Channel Maker

THE CLASSIC

My Top 4 Picks:

1.Acelerate

2.West Coast

3.MENDELSSOHN

4.Mckinzie

Have fun!…and if you’re in Louisville …stay warm!