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ARCHIVE: BREEDER’S CUP 2014


MINUTES TO POST…

THE BREEDERS’  CUP 2014

 

JERRY BAILEYUnknown  SUZEE

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CONGRATULATIONS TO TEAM BAYERN!

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Controversy swirls around Bayern’s BC Classic victory
By Jay Privman

ARCADIA, Calif. – Even with an extra hour to sleep on it on Saturday night, emotions were still raw at Santa Anita on Sunday morning regarding the controversial Breeders’ Cup Classic on Saturday, in which Bayern prevailed and then survived a stewards’ inquiry focusing on his actions at the start.

Bayern veered left immediately out of the gate and made contact with several horses, including favored Shared Belief, who finished fourth, behind Bayern, Toast of New York, and California Chrome. There also was a second incident 150 yards into the race, when Toast of New York moved sharply left toward Shared Belief. Stewards let the result stand.

“I don’t have anything to say,” said Jerry Hollendorfer, the trainer and co-owner of Shared Belief, who was clearly disappointed with the decision. He said Shared Belief had come out of the race well and would head back to Golden Gate Fields on Monday.

Moreno, who was involved in the chain-reaction bumping at the start, emerged from the race with a swollen right-front ankle, according to his trainer, Eric Guillot. On Monday, Guillot said X-rays revealed a chip in that ankle. He said it would be removed via surgery.

Guillot said he thought Moreno was compromised by the start.

“You want to have a foot race, and I trip you on the way out?” Guillot said.

Scott Chaney, one of Santa Anita’s stewards, said he and colleagues Kim Sawyer and Tom Ward all agreed that while there was interference, they could not assume it cost any of the runners the opportunity for a better placing. Therefore, based on the rule they must apply, they made no change.

“We’re loath to speculate,” he said.

Chaney said the stewards thought the Toast of New York incident was less significant than the start, and they focused most of their attention on Bayern. He said that because they did not believe placings were impacted, they never got to the point where they looked at where Bayern would be placed should he be disqualified.

Chaney said no riders lodged an objection. He also said there was no evidence the veering in was done purposefully by jockey Martin Garcia, who was absolved of blame after meeting with the stewards on Sunday.

The controversy regarding the Classic overshadowed the performance of Bayern, who was winning for the sixth time in 10 starts, all this year, and bravely held off Toast of New York and California Chrome – who had clean trips – to win the 1 1/4-mile race.

“That horse ran a brilliant race,” said Bayern’s trainer, Bob Baffert. “He’s so tough. He’s just getting better and better. He’s such a good horse. He’s the kind of horse I could have run yesterday in the Sprint, Mile, or Classic.

“This little horse, he’s brought it. He’s the kind of horse you want to breed. He’s durable. He’s sound. He’s solid.”

Bayern earned a career-high 113 Beyer Speed Figure for his Classic performance.

Baffert said Bayern came out of the race well. He will stay in training next year at age 4. His owner, Kaleem Shah, on Sunday morning said his early season goal for 2015 was the Dubai World Cup, which will be back on dirt.

“My hope is the Dubai World Cup, and we can work out his schedule back from that,” Shah said at Santa Anita. “Bob can watch the race on his Grade 1 couch.”

Baffert has not returned to Dubai since suffering a heart attack there 2 1/2 years ago.

Shah seemed to agonize over the result, on one hand thoroughly thrilled he had won his biggest race as an owner, on the other hand not able to fully enjoy it because of the controversy.

“From my perspective, I hate it coming down to this issue,” Shah said. “I feel bad for the connections of Shared Belief. But I do think Shared Belief had six furlongs to make up four lengths on us and he never closed any ground. And the other top contenders had their shot at getting by.

“It was a tremendous race. Bayern wouldn’t let the other horses by, even on the gallop-out. I feel horrible at the way it unfolded. I wish there was no controversy.”

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Horse of the Year

still up for debate
By Jay Privman

ARCADIA, Calif. – Now what?

That’s the question Eclipse Award voters will be asking over the next two months after a Breeders’ Cup Classic on Saturday at Santa Anita that had the promise of emphatically deciding both Horse of the Year and champion 3-year-old male, but ended in controversy.

Bayern won the Classic, but the rough start of the race and the decision by Santa Anita’s stewards to not disqualify him has sparked fierce debate that figures to rage right up until the Eclipse Award winners are announced on Jan. 17 at Gulfstream Park. Ballots are sent out in mid-December, and are due shortly after the new year.

Had Bayern won the Classic without dispute, he would be a slam dunk for both Horse of the Year and champion 3-year-old male, and he certainly still figures to be a strong factor for both, based on his overall body of work. His résumé includes victories in the Classic, the Haskell, and the Pennsylvania Derby, as well as the seven-furlong Woody Stephens, and he ran 10 times at eight different tracks while competing from Jan. 4 through Nov. 1.

California Chrome and Shared Belief also figure to get support for both Horse of the Year and champion 3-year-old male. California Chrome, the Kentucky Derby winner, won the biggest races for his division in the spring. But California Chrome lost 2 of 3 head-to-head matches against Bayern – in the Classic and the Pennsylvania Derby – and he did not win after the Preakness, a race in which he defeated Bayern.

Shared Belief was unbeaten prior to the Classic, but he finished behind Bayern and California Chrome in their only head-to-head meeting, albeit after being walloped at the start. He does, however, own three wins against older horses to Bayern’s one and California Chrome’s zero.

Bayern, California Chrome, and Shared Belief are the most likely finalists for champion 3-year-old male, but the candidates for Horse of the Year figure to widen because of the unsatisfying conclusion of the Classic.

The horse whose stock for Horse of the Year was boosted most by the Breeders’ Cup was Main Sequence, who won the Turf for his fourth win of the year, without defeat, all in Grade 1 company. Wise Dan is likely to get some sentimental votes, but not enough to defeat the other candidates.

Distaff winner Untapable also figures to garner support, but she was no match for Bayern in the Haskell in her only start outside restricted company. Some voters might circle back to Palace Malice, who was the best older horse in country the first half of the year but had his season curtailed by injury.

At the least, Main Sequence seems a cinch for champion male turf horse, even if there is a smattering of support for Wise Dan, and Untapable should win in a romp as champion 3-year-old filly.

Main Sequence also will get plenty of support for champion older male. Although he raced exclusively on turf, Eclipse Award voters in recent years have shown a propensity for rewarding a turf horse – such as Wise Dan – in this category if unsatisfied with the traditional main-track candidates. The best of the male dirt horses were Palace Malice and Goldencents, who completed his stellar career on Friday with a repeat victory in the Dirt Mile.

Three other Breeders’ Cup race winners also likely secured titles with their wins on Saturday.

Dayatthespa beat all the top candidates for champion female grass runner in the Filly and Mare Turf. Work All Week vanquished all the primary contenders for male sprinter, such as Secret Circle and Palace, in the Sprint. And Judy the Beauty nailed down the female sprint title with her victory in the Filly and Mare Sprint.

Dayatthespa also has likely put herself in the running for champion older female, even though she is strictly a turf horse, owing to the way the traditional main-track candidates finished off their years. Close Hatches was the divisional leader for most of the year, until she bombed in both the Spinster and Distaff. But her crucial head-to-head victory over Beholder and Princess of Sylmar in the Ogden Phipps likely will be viewed as a title decider by many voters.

Texas Red staked his claim to champion 2-year-old male with his runaway victory in the Juvenile, but his win certainly flattered American Pharoah, who missed the Juvenile with an injury after easily defeating Texas Red in the FrontRunner. American Pharoah also won the Del Mar Futurity, giving him two Grade 1 victories to one for Texas Red. Hootenanny, the Juvenile Turf winner, also might get a bit of support for an internationally ambitious campaign that encompassed April through October and included a stakes win at Royal Ascot and a runner-up finish in the Group 1 Prix Morny at Deauville.

The upset victory by the previously unheralded Take Charge Brandi in the Juvenile Fillies on Saturday likely will cause voters to strongly embrace turf specialist Lady Eli for champion 2-year-old filly. Lady Eli was a dazzling winner of the Juvenile Fillies Turf on Friday and won all three of her starts this year.

 

 

With the post positions set for Breeders’ Cup 2014,  the analysis begins for this

Richest Weekend in Sports!

The entries and post positions have been finalized, and now the strategy begins for the racing teams of trainers, jockeys and owners…

going over their final gameplan for this huge weekend of Thoroughbred Racing that lies ahead.  

As the weekend draws nearer,  the storylines are developing around the Cup’s most prestigious events.

Some of the top contenders should be familiar names from the Triple Crown Season,…

but there will also be some stars showing up from overseas and a bevy of top

new challengers making their debut at this Premier Event which just adds to the excitement!

We hope our coverage here on MINUTES TO POST helps you with your favorite picks…

or just gives you ‘rooting interest’ on this Spectacular Weekend of Sports!

(We’ll be updating our Breeders’ Cup News daily!)

Suzee and Jerry Bailey

 

 

CONGRATULATIONS TO LAST YEAR’S WINNER

MUCHO MACHO MAN!

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The Breeders’ Cup World Championships is an annual series of Thoroughbred horse races, most but not all Grade I, operated by Breeders’ Cup Limited, a company formed in 1982. From its inception in 1984 through 2006, it was a single-day event; starting in 2007, it expanded to two days. All sites have been in the United States, except in 1996, when the races were at the Woodbine Racetrack in Canada.

The event was created as a year-end championship for North American Thoroughbred racing, and also attracts top horses from other parts of the world, especially Europe. The idea for the Breeders’ Cup was proposed at the 1982 awards luncheon for the Kentucky Derby Festival by pet food heir John R. Gaines (1928–2005),[2] a leading Thoroughbred owner and breeder who wanted to clean up the sport’s image. Before the Breeders’ Cup expanded to two days, it was generally considered to be the richest day in sports. As of 2008, the second day of the Breeders’ Cup is the second-richest. In 2008, a total of $17 million was awarded on that day, down from $20 million in 2007 (two races were moved from Day 2 to Day 1)

With the addition of three new races for 2008, a total of $25.5 million was awarded over the two days, up from $23 million in 2007. Each Breeders’ Cup race awards to the winner a garland of flowers draped over the withers of the winning horse and four Breeders’ Cup Trophy presented to the connections of the winners.

A maximum of 14 starters are allowed in each of the 14 Breeders’ Cup Championships races with the exception of the Dirt Mile which will be limited to 12 starters. Breeders’ Cup Limited has adopted a field selection system to select runners in the event fields are oversubscribed. This system ranks horses in order of preference based upon (1) performance in Breeders’ Cup Challenge Races, (2) a point system, and (3) the judgment of a panel of racing experts. The field selection system will be implemented as necessary following the taking of pre-entries approximately two weeks before the Breeders’ Cup (in 2012, this will take place on October 22) to officially rank the oversubscribed fields. The Racing Directors/Secretaries Panel (the “Panel”) will rank all the horses pre-entered in the oversubscribed races as described below. After pre-entry, any vacancies in the fields will be filled by horses in order of panel preference.

Through 2006, there were eight races on the Breeders’ Cup card, all classified as Grade I races. In 2007, three races – the Dirt Mile, Filly and Mare Sprint, and Juvenile Turf – were added, all of them run the Friday before the remaining eight races. Three more new races – a Turf Sprint, Juvenile Filly Turf and Marathon – were added for 2008.[1] A Juvenile Sprint was added for 2011.

Througout the month of October COFFEEBREAKWITHFRIENDS along with Jerry and Suzee Bailey will be keeping you up-to-date on the latest Breeders’ Cup news.  Stay tuned to Jerry’s in -depth analysis on each Breeders’ Cup race coming soon!

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AWESOME AGAIN STAKES AT SANTA ANITA PARK

THE JOCKEY CLUB GOLD CUP BELMONT PARK


 

 

 

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jerrys-headshot

Jerry’s Top Picks

for

    BREEDERS’ CUP 2014

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Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf 2014

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1.  War Envoy

This colt not only has a ton of talent, his connections have dominated in this race. Trainer Aidan Obrien and jockey Ryan Moore have won this race twice and have one second together.

2.  Daddy DT

This race is loaded with early speed and this guy come from off the pace and has a good post . His only turf race was a graded stake at Del Mar in which he won, so he is a logical pick.

3. Hootenany

This son of Quality Road is an interesting horse. He not only won at Keeneland(maiden race on grass) but then he won at Royal Ascot, and as second in France at six furlongs. The reason he down at number five is his aggressive style of running up on the pace, and with a lot of other early speed in here, he could get “cooked” early in the race. Definitely a quality horse but he will need to either rate a bit or hope others will not challenge him.

4. Lawn Ranger

I like his name, he is very talented and he comes off two wins in a row including the grade three Bourbon Stakes at Keeneland.

The only thing against this one is post 13.

Suzee’s Picks…

1.  War Envoy

2.  Luck of the Kitten

3.  Imperia

           

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Goldencents

Breeders Cup Dirt Mile

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1.   Goldencents

 The winner of this race last year has awesome this year even though he has been in three of his four starts this year. In the Met mile at Belmont Park in June, he ran a wining race but finished second to Palace Malice who at the time was the best horse in the country. He followed that up with another great second to Big Macher in the Bing Crosby at Del Mar. After that he avenged that loss with a win in the Pat Obrien stakes and in his most recent win he was the victim of a very misjudged ride, moving way too early which cost him the win. He has enough early speed to take this gate to wire and fro the one post he will likely do just that. He is the surest thing in the BC.

2.  Pants on Fire

Everyone below Goldencents can beat each other but this is my best guess at the rankings. This guy was beaten 12 lengths in this race last year but he seems in better form this year than last.

3.  Fed Biz

Really can’t match the top choice on most days and he was soundly beaten in this race last year, but has a chance to get a piece with a good trip. His post number eight is not ideal but he’s on his game right now.

4.  Vicar’s in Trouble

Other than his effort in the Kentucky Derby, all his races this year have been solid. This is another that could easily be ranked number two or three on this list, in fact he would have been before his disappointing second in the Indiana Derby, a race I thought he should have won if he had star quality. Having said that, he stands a chance to get a piece and if Goldencents stubs his toe, this guy could win it all.

5.  Tapiture

Post nine is no help but if his jockey Rosie Napravnik can get into the first turn no more than three horses wide then he has a chance to be in the money(no one is beating Goldencents)

Suzee’s Picks…

I’m going for Gold…

1.  Goldencents

2.  Golden Ticket

3.  Tapiture

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Lady Eli

Breeders Cup Juv Filly Turf 2014

On the turf, the Euros are always the ones to beat ,

and even though the US has a four to

Two edge in the previous six runnings,

Europe has won the last two and hold a fairly strong hand again this year.

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 1.  Osalia

This filly comes off a win at Newmarket , as Dettori changed tactics and came from back in the pack. She was up on the pace in the grade one Moyglare but faded to 5th  (one placing ahead of Qualify ) in the late stages and looks as if she couldn’t even get 7 furlongs but the change in tactics and the speedy turf at Santa Anita will suit her fine.

2.  Lady Eli

Of the American contingent, its hard to tell which coast is superior, but this Chad Brown trained filly overcame trouble in her first out at Saratoga to win going away and she was very impressive winning the Miss Grillo in her next start even though the final time was almost 10 lengths slower than what her male counterparts ran the same distance an hour later. She has an explosive turn of foot and will need all of it in the stretch.

3.  Qualify

She too changed tactics in her last race while winning a grade 3 at the Curragh from nest to last early. According to trainer Aidan Obrien, this massive filly with a long stride will too appreciate the added distance from 7 to a mile.  She drew a horrible post(14) but she runs best from back so her jockey Ryan Moore will need to take back, go directly to the inside rail and takes his chances trying to get through 13 other horses throughout the rest of the race. He a really good rider and this race will test all his skills.

4.  Sunset Glow 

This Successful Appeal filly has 3 wins and 2 seconds in as many starts but only her maiden win was on the grass. In the Del Mar Debutante(on synthetic) she beat Her Emmynency who is the other California standout but hasn’t raced since that Aug 30 race.

5.  Rainha De BAteria.

It’s a toss up for this pick but in her only defeat, she was really wide on the first turn and likely cost her, so she could be easily be undefeated.

   

Suzee’s Picks… 

1.  Qualify

2.  Isabella Sings

and those of you that know me know I have to add this one in…

3.  Paritsan Politics

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Untapable

  Breeders Cup Distaff 2014

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1.   Untapable

Could it be the year of the three year olds? The classic top four are all three year old and with the scratch of Beholder , and if Close Hatche’s Spinster is mort than a one time flop, then this Kentucky Oaks winner could surely pick up the mantle. Her only blemish this year is a poor effort in the Haskell but remember that was against the males. If this daughter of Tapit brings the same effort of any of her spring races, that would likely win this event.

2.   Close Hatches

With the favorite Beholder out of this year’s BC with a fever, the choice can easily be this four year old daughter of First Defense had a perfect season going into the Spinster at Keeneland on Oct 5, but was a disappointing 4th as the heavy favorite, with no apparent excuse other than an extremely fast workout two weeks prior. She beat Beholder while winning the Ogden Phipps and looked to be the best in the division until that last flop. She has the speed to take the race gate to wire but can also be just as effective stalking the leaders which she is likely to do in the BC Distaff with the speedy Beholder and Belle Gallantey and Tiz Midnight in the race.

3.  Don’t Tell Sophia

This six year old mare upset the apple cart while beating Close Hatches en route to her Spinster win(her first grade one win). Although she doesn’t seem to be able to beat the top two if they run their beat race, she is the best of the rest and her come from behind style should be effective with the fast pace anticipated in this year’s distaff.

4.  Tiz Midnight

Trainer Bob Baffert has taken his time bringing this four year old daughter of double BC sprint champ Midnight Lute to the big dance. In her first venture into graded stakes company, she ran a solid second to the mighty Beholder. If she continues to progress, it’s possible she could be a factor however she seems one dementionally speedy and with other fast fillies in the Distaff, she could get cooked on the front unless she learns to rate a bit..

5.  Iotapa

This four year old daughter of Preakness and Belmont winner Afleet Alex has had a very good year. She’s been in the money in six of her seven starts and has two grade one wins to her credit. She’s won on the lead, and from just off the pace which will make her very handy for her rider to place her. If she can bring her Vanity stakes(at Santa Anita in March) winning performance, she can beat all these.

 

Suzee’s Picks…

I’m going with Jerry here…

1.  Untapable

2.  Close Hatches

3.  Don’t tell Sophia

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 Breeders Cup Juv Fillies 2014

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 1.  Angela Renee

She’s the leader of the pack only based because of her last performance, a win in the Chandelier Stakes at Santa Anita. She wasn’t as good as the east coast fillies when she was at Saratoga but because she has a race over the track and around two turns, she get a very slight edge.

2.  By The Moon

The Frizette winner by Indian Charlie has still yet to travel two turns but she did beat Cavorting and Condo Commander who were the east coast leaders at the end of the Saratoga meet.

3.  Christina’s Journey

This daughter of Any Given Saturday is two for two including a win in the Pocahontas stakes at Churchill Downs around two turns. In both her wins she lead gate to wire so it’s still a question if she can rate off the pace should she need to.

4.  Wonder Gal

This granddaughter of two time Breeders Cup Classic winner Tiznow , was second in the Frizette on a sloppy track and could very well improve on a dry track.

5.  Puca

Very Impressive breaking her maiden by 16 lengths at Belmont but this would be a huge step up .

Suzee’s Picks…

1.  Angela Renee

2.  Puca – (like this team)

3.  Wonder Gal

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Dank

Breeders’ Cup F& M Turf

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1. Dank

Last years winner in this event has been sidelined since June with an undisclosed issue but rest assured that her trainer Sir Michael Stoute would not bring her unprepared. She is tactical enough to make her own luck and her Jockey Ryan Moore is one of the best in Europe and already has six BC wins in limited opportunities.

2.  Dayatthespa…(last minute update!)

 

3.  Fiesolana

This five year old mare was beaten by the males in her last race but she fits with the girls, but the only question I have is if she can go this far effectively(she did win her first race at this distance but ) against this great bunch.

4.   Stephanie’s Kitten

This daughter of the tremendously successful Kitten’s Joy is the best American hope in this race. She hasn’t participated in a BC event since winning the Juv Filly Turf in 2011 but this could be her year. Because of her come from behind style, she will need some racing luck but if she can duplicate her Flower Bowl win at Belmont she stands a chance.

5.  Just the Judge

winner of the E.P. Taylor on Oct 19, has a quick turnaround as well as shipping. In her two North American races this year, she has been positioned no further back that mid pack. I question if she can race twice in 2 weeks effectively at this level, but she sure has talent.

5.   Secret Gesture

Another Euro that is not among the best of her group but can certainly compete with our bunch. Her biggest issue may be her lack of acceleration during the race making it hard for her jockey to get through holes as needed, but she can still be a factor on her day.

 

Suzee’s Picks…

what a group of Beauties!.. sure couldn’t choose on looks!

1.  Dank

2.  Stephany’s Kitten

3.  Irish Mission

 

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Artemis Agrotera

Breeders Cup F&M Sprint

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1 .  Artemis Agrotera

This 3 year old daughter of Haskell winner Roman Ruler has had a great year after a huge flop in the Acorn stakes at Belmont in June(her first start of the year). Since then she’s been on fire winning three in a row including the grade one Ballerina at Saratoga at seven furlongs. She was up on the pace in that race but in the six and a half furlong Gallant Bloom, she was last of six early in the race and rallied to win by a head.

2.  Stonetastic

This three year old filly who ran a huge race in winning the Prioress at Saratoga regressed a bit finishing second to Leigh Court at Keeneland in her last but still a great effort. She could be the speed of the race where there is little, and that would give her a huge edge.

 3.  Leigh Court

 Since breaking her maiden and finishing second in an allowance race on dirt at the Fair Grounds , she has run exclusively on grass or synthetic, until winning the TCA at Keeneland on Oct 4th, which also confirmed her quality. She had speed or can rate off anyb pace which helps her cause. She is ridden by Gary Boulanger who is in the second year of an amazing comeback from a near fatal head injury in 2005 at Gulfstream Park. There are a few in here that will certainly beat her with their best effort, so she still needs to improve just a tad.

3.  Judy The Beauty

This four year old daughter of BC Classic winner Ghostzapper was second to the brilliant Groupie Doll in this race last year , so we know she likes Santa Anita, and with her three wins in four starts in 2014 we also know she’s in good form.She races from off the pace, but has shown she can adjust as the pace dictates.

5.  Sweet Reason..

This three year old daughter of Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense could have easily been higher on this list, so don’t let the ranking fool you, she can win this thing. She won the grade one Acorn and Test this year and only failed in the Cotillian to the mighty Untapable because the mile and a sixteenth was too far for her. My only concern is her poorer than expected fourth place finish in the BC Juvenile filly race last year on this track. She comes from way back so a hot pace early will help..

Suzee’s Pick…

1.  Judy the Beauty

2.  Artemis Agrotero

3.  Better Lucky

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Reneesgotzip

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

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1. Bobby’s Kitten

This three year old son of Kitten’s Joy has been trying longer all his career however his inability to relax going a mile or longer leads me to believe that this distance will suit him perfectly. He will get outrun early by a few in here but wont be far from the pace and his rider Joel Rosario is very familiar with this course.

2.  Reneesgotzip

 Runner up in this race last year and third in 2012, this five year old mare will certainly give the boys all they can handle. She will likely set the pace and runs the heck out of this course.

3.  Home Run Kitten

Another son of the mighty Kitten’s Joy comes off a win in the Eddie D on this very course. He is devoid of early speed but will be flying lateand remember that other than California Flag(who took this gate to wire in 2009) the winners have all come from far back.

4.  No Nay Never

This Wesley Ward trained son of Scat Daddy is very good and very fast, also well traveled. He broke his maiden at Keeneland last spring, went to Ascot and Deauville after that and won both before taking an extended vacation until this March at GP. In his only career defeat(4 out of 5) he was second in the Swale stakes, but that was on the dirt so it can be forgiven. He then had another 6 months off before winning the Woodford Reserve at Keeneland in preparation for this, but he was getting very leg weary at the end of that 5 ½ furlong stake. The only question is if 6 ½ furlongs is too far for him.

5.  Silentio

This is a shot in the dark. He has never run shorter than 7 furlongs and although he’s never been able to beat the grade one competition at a mile, this could be the right spot.. Just a guess here.

Suzee’s Picks…

1.  Bobby’s Kitten

2.  Reneesgotzip

3.  No Nay Never

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American Pharoah

The Sentient Jet Juvenile 2014

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The two year races of the Breeders cup can be hard to predict simply because there are limited previous races in which to determine the quality of any one individual. Also they are usually dominant in their geographical region and most show plenty of speed while winning, so its hard to determine who will be the fastest of the fast and for those who won’t keep pace early, can they adjust their style and be as effective as they have previously been.

1.  Daredevil

This Todd Pletcher trained son of More than Ready has two wins in as many starts, both at Belmont Park and both on a wet track. In his maiden race he took the lead shortly after the start and won as the rider pleased. In his nest race, The Champagne Stakes , he sat just behind the early leaders, tracking in second on the outside and took the lead turning for home and again won with the greatest of ease. He really hasn’t been tested yet and he has had very clean trips with no adversity at all. The only edge the top pick has over this one is a race over the Santa Anita strip and a race around twon turns.

2.  Carpe Diem

Which means “seize the day”…and that’s exactly what this Todd Pletcher trinaed colt by Giant’s Causeway has done ion his only two starts. He won his debut in a maiden race at Saratoga (which usually takes a special horse) and most recently won the Breeders Futurity at Keeneland around two turns form just off the early pace. His performances weren’t as flashy as the top two but he should not be overlooked.

3.  Souper Colossal

Yes the name is spelled a bit peculiar, but given that this war front colt is owned by Campbell Soup heiress Charlotte Weber, it makes perfect sense. Trained by Eddie Plesa, this colt is three for three and has won around two turns, but since all were at Monmouth Park he has yet to face the best of the east or west. He looks to be special but this will be the acid test.

4.  Calculator

This grey colt by In Summation has been second to American Pharoah in his last two races and though I’m skeptical about his ability to get the distance, his post one is such an advantage that I’m putting him slightly over Upstart who breaks for the far outside.

Suzee’s Picks…

1.  Carpe Diem

2.  Daredevil

3.  Mr. Z-(like this team)

 

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Telescope

 Breeders Cup Turf 2014

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1. Flintshire

Trained by the French master, Andre Fabre, who won the 1993 BC Classic with 133-1 longshot Arcangues. This four year old colt’s second in the recently run Arc D Triomphe was even better than it looked. While the winner(Treve) got a perfect trip, this fellow was searching for running room about a quarter mile from the finish and didn’t have time to recover. If he can bring that Arc effort to this race, he can certainly win.

2.  Telescope

This four year old son of the mighty Galileo and trained by four time BC turf winner Sir Michael Stoute has been slightly below the very best in Europe this year. He only has one win, but has been second three times and third once , beaten by the likes of Australia and Noble Mission(who are the tops this year). Rarely do the Euros bring their best but it usually doesn’t take their best horses to win grass races in the U.S.

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3.  Main Sequence

This race keep getting better.. this five year old gelding is a European import and came to trainer Graham Motion after his season last year. His 2014 is perfect, winning all three of his starts and all grade one events. He comes from well back in the pack and among his quirks is the habit of stopping running once he makes the lead, therefor his rider needs to time his move perfectly as to only make the lead very near the finish. His regular rider Rajiv Maragh has him figured out to a tee, however he is injured so the great Johnny Velazquez has the mount. If he can ride him as well as Rajiv, then this guy has a big chance.

4.  Imagining

This six year old son of Giant’s Causeway is yet another with only one win this season, but that was in the grade one Man O War stakes at Belmont. He’s been second and third in his other grade one tries but Main Sequence took the measure of him both times. He seems to be a cut below the top four in here.

 Suzee’s Picks…

1.  Telescope

2.  Flintshire

3.  Twilight Eclipse

     

Screen Shot 2014-10-25 at 9.05.59 PM Secret Circle

 Breeders Cup Expressbet Sprint 2014

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  1.  Rich Tapestry

A six year old Irish bred invader from Hong Kong, won the Print Championship(prep for this race) over the Santa Anita strip on October 4 while taking the measure of Secret Circle. Although he has raced most of his career on turf or synthetic, he has two winning stake efforts in Hong Kong in 2012 which were on dirt. He can race close to the lead but can adapt to the pace as seen in his last race. This guy could easily be number one.

2.   Secret Circle

This Bob Baffert trained lightly raced four year old is the defending champ in this race. Last year he come into the sprint with one prep race from a six month layoff and this year is almost identical. Although he has brilliant speed, in the sprint last year, he rated a few lengths off the lead and won by a neck. He has work brilliantly since that prep race indicating he is moving forwardly.

3.  Palace

Winner in three of his seven races this year including two grade  sprints at Saratoga, he disappointed in the Vosburg, running third behind Private Zone and Dads Caps. If he can bring the summer performances wet to Santa Anita, he can be a player but the poor last race makes me wonder if it was an isolated poor effort or is he tailing off a bit late in the year. He is very tactical and can make most of his own luck with helps his chances. His trainer Linda Rice is very successful with sprinters.

4. Bakken

This three year old son of Distorted Humor is lightly raced and even though he has yet to win a graded stake, he could improve enough to be a factor in here. His post 11 is a huge plus for this speedster if he can rate just a couple of lengths off what is sure to be a hot early pace. His owner William Warren won the 2005 BC Classic with St. Liam.

5.  Dad’s Caps

There are several others in here that have slightly better credentials however they all are speed types who are likely to get chewed up on the front end early and this guy has the ability to rate a touch as he did finishing second to Private Zone in the Vosburgh. Ig he can duplicate his win in the grade one Carter Handicap (run back in April at Aqueduct), he’s got a punchers chance.

 

Suzee’s Picks…

(have rootin interest here with friends…)

1.  Secret Circle

2.  Bakken

3.  Fast Anna

       

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Breeders Cup Mile 2014

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1.  Toronado

Of the Euros, he seems to be the best, and with Wise Dan out due to injury he grabs the top spot . He has the ability to be close to a slower pace and will be further back if it gets fast early up front. In this case with plenty of early speed in the race, expect to see him  7 or 8 lengths back off the pace through the first half of the race.

2.  Anodin

Most noted as a full brother to three time BC Mile winner Goldikova..Not far behind Kingman and Toronado in Europe, he was 5th in his last race(the Prix de la Foret on Arc weekend) behind the likes of Olympic Glory, with a tough of troublr in deep stretch which may have cost him a placing or two. He would need to run the race of his life to win.

3.  Mustajeeb

This three year old is kind of “under the radar “ for a euro on the grass in this years Breeders Cup. He has two wins, a second and a third this year and though his only win was a grade three, he wasn’t too far behind Europe’s best(Kingman) and he could be the upset horse if Toronado stubs his toe.

4.   Tom’s Tribute

This four year old son of Lion Heart has taken two of the last three wins from the California mile speedster Obviously. He seems to have found the right partner in jockey Mike Smith who places him mid pack early, moves into contention on the turn and waits until mid stretch to ask him for his best so that he makes the lead as late as possible. He is another one that would need the race of his life to win the BC mile..

5.  Obviously

The biggest question with this multiple grade one winner is whether his last race flop at Del Mar is a sign that he is already starting to tail off this year, or it was an isolated poor effort. The fact that he struggled to make the lead in that race is the biggest worry of his late season effectiveness. He is brilliantly fast and if on his game will take the lead from the start and run as fast as he can for as long as he can. Two years ago in this race, he lead until deep stretch and hung on to be a solid third.

Suzee’s Picks… 

1.  Toronado

2.  Anodin

3.  Seek Again –(Rooting Interest…)

 

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Tonalist

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Shared Belief

Breeders’ Cup Classic

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1. Tonalist

The Belmont stakes winners had his most impressive win to date in the Jockey Club Gold Cup in his most recent outing, coming from almost last with his late run. He does have enough tactical speed to adjust to slower pace scenarios, but with the early speed of Moreno and Bayern expected in the Classic, his preferred style should be perfect. He would be the first Belmont stakes winner since A.P. Indy in 1992 to win that race and the Classic at age 3, and only Curlin, Skip Away and Cigar have won the JC Gold Cup and the Classic in the same season.

2.  Shared Belief  

Although the three year olds are stronger than the older horses this year, there is little separation between a few of them. Shared Belief is at the top because he is unbeaten in all of his sevens starts and he con adjust to any pace scenario that may develop within a race. His Pacific Classic win was very impressive beating older horses for the first time but not so much in the Awesome Again stakes (his last outing) . Even though he was “taken to the parking lot” through most of the race, his acceleration when asked by rider Mike Smith, wasn’t nearly as impressive as his previous races, begging the question of whether he is great on synthetic(where he has won most of his races) and just pretty good on conventional dirt. Also that wide effort had to take more out of this horse than desired. Still, he rates a slight edge over the rest.

3.  Bayern

This speedy son of Offlee Wild could easily be number one on the list if I thought he could get an uncontested lead for the first quarter mile of the Classic. He has demonstrated in the Haskell and Penn Derby that he is unbeatable when that occurs, but when challenged early, he folds like a cheap suit. With Moreno in the race, he unlikely to get soft fractions in the early stages of the race but if Moreno has trouble from the gate, breaks slowly or for some other reason does not go for the early lead, then Bayern will be very hard to beat.

4.  California Chrome

I wasn’t going to put him in my top five because I truly think he’s not what he was earlier in the year, but with the outside(post 13) draw, he will get the outside stalking trip his connections feel he needs in order to win. I do think he will run better that his last two races however it won’t be enough.

5.  Cigar Street

This one at five years old is the only older horse in the top five, but still has raced only 9 times because of injuries. He has been first or second in six of his eight lifetime starts and seems to be at the top of his game for trainer Bill Mott(trainer of the mighty Cigar). This son of Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense has tactical speed and should be stalking what promises to be a lively early pace. He could get first run on contenders such as Shared Belief, Tonalist and Toast of New York but his quality against the very best is yet to be determined.

 

Suzee’s Picks…

1.  Shared Belief

2.  Tonalist

3.  Cigar Street(How can I not go with a Cigar-Mott team….)

*Jerry will be sending in his updates daily.

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*Gary Young has been clocking horses for nearly 35 years after getting his start for trainer Arnold Winick in Florida in 1978. Young is now based on the West Coast but serves as a bloodstock adviser on private and public auction purchases at tracks and sales throughout the country, having been involved in such recent Grade 1 winners as Evening Jewel, Midnight Lute, Line of David and Life At Ten.
To hear more from Gary, check out his website at:
Garyyoungthoroughbredss.com

 

Oct 17

Midnight Lucky- 36:1 48 1.12 1.25 to 7/8 pole, gallop out 1.38:2

Her most serious drill as she prepares to prove she is the best one turn female in the world while coming off the bench. After dismantling Declassify last week, she worked solo here and was very good again.The daughter of 2 time Breeder’s Cup winner Midnight Lute is in the right barn to fire off the bench and appears to be on target.

Valiant Emillia-1.13:4 1.38:3

South American filly for Gary Mandella has impressed since coming here to prepare for Breeder’s Cup and turned in a good mile here while besting the comebacking Setsuko. Obviously, she is trying to climb a tall mountain but her works locally with Bejarano can’t be knocked.

Home Run Kitten– 38:1 1.12:3

As the fractions suggest, this Hofmans fired home very well in this drill as he prepares to give the barn its second upset in the Turf Sprint down the hill.Though not very big in size, he is a very efficient mover and did win the local prep for the race.

Goldenscents- 35:4 59:2 gallop out 1.12

The beneficiary of making the lead in last years Dirt Mile looked a little less smooth than I’ve seen him in the past. Have always been a fan of this guy but might take a stand against him depending on how his last drill goes

October 18

Big Bane Theory-23:4 48

Striking massive colt broke off 2 lengths behind stable mate Rue de Cry and it looked like a big fish chasing a little fish as he reeled her in with his massive strides to get even at the wire while going easily. I’ve always liked this guy and he won the local prep for the Turf Mile.

Danny Boy– worked a super 5/8 in his first local drill for Romans. I don’t know where he is running but he sure took to SA like a duck to water.

Candy Boy– 46:2 1.10:2 gallop out 1.25:4

Bested Honey Ride while under pressure late and leaning in slightly which is his custom in the morning. There are fast works that you love when you clock horses and there are fast works that leave you empty and believing the best thing about the drill was the time itself. Such was the case here.

Angela Renee– 24:4 48 gallop out 1.01

Followed up her win in the local prep for the Breeders Cup Juv Filly with an easy half in company with Saint Dermot for the Godfather. This years edition of the race seems to lack a standout. There was nothing to knock in this drill.

Her Emmynancy– 25 49

Worked an eye catching half on the turf in her first work since a perfect trip win in the Surfer Girl, the prep for Juvenile Filly Turf. Joe Talamo was just a passenger here in this move. I’m sure the waters will get deeper in the next start but this sure is a pretty moving filly on turf.

Obviously-11:2 34:3 46:2 1.11:4

Also worked on turf around the dogs with Talamo up and, as is his custom, tore off in the beginning like a bat out of hell and finished up in ordinary fashion. I have no doubt this guy will open up a huge lead early in the Turf Mile but will be very surprised if the closers don’t go by him like a train past a hobo around the 1/8 pole

Private Zone– 23 34:3 1.10 from gate

Came out of the gate like his tail was on fire with Pedroza just holding on here. Has always had some quirks and many of his works have been in company/ and or from the gate but this work was a scorcher and he should be on the engine in the sprint.

 

October 19

Untappable– 12:3 24:1 35:2 58:3 gallop out 1.11:4 1.24:4

After a once around the track in her first local breeze, the soon to be 3 tear old champion filly worked like a freak. The finish was off the charts while in hand and the gallop out was equally impressive. It is a huge letdown that Beholder has defected because this could’ve been a showdown at the OK Corral. It also shortens the price greatly on what is, as of now, the best work I’ve seen for this years Breeders Cup.

Big Macher– 34:4 58:2

T. Baze up, broke 2 behind Unusual Fleet and finished 4 in front in a very good move for this Gr 1 winner. He may have bounced when he got shelled in his last at Del Mar but comes into the Sprint as a fresh good working horse that should be a good price and should get some pace to chase.

Tiz Midnight– 47:2 1.12:1

Slender filly turned in a decent drill while finishing with her ears up. Another one who will be happy not to see Beholder in the paddock, she could hit the board but a win would come as a surprise.

TURF WORKS

Flamboyant- 50:1 1.13:4

Always been a great mover on sod and looked so here. The turf rendered some strong final 1/4 times today and this was no exception. Probably aiming for the Twilight Derby and, depending what Europe brings for the race, could be a major player.

Daddy DT– 48:2 1.12

Returned to the grass after a Hindenburg on the dirt in the Frontrunner. His final 1/4 was decent though he was under strong hand urging from Nakatani. Moves like a turf horse.

Papacoolpapacool– 36:2 59:4

Recent maiden winner is improving by leaps and bounds for Jeff Mullins and flew home here with Talamo just along for the ride. It isn’t possible to time gallop outs on this turf course but this colt galloped out like a convict on his release day and is a live longshot in Juvenile Turf. And let’s face it, we all live for live longshots….

Miss Serendipity- 49:1 1.14

Never wows the work watchers in the morning and such was the case here as she did her usual tail flipping while also swapping leads approaching the wire. She has won Gr 1’s off of works like this but I think she gets hot n dirty Nov 1

Tom’s Tribute- 13:3 27:1 40 52 1.15

Striking chestnut has been working 6 furlongs on grass every week and as he has the past 2 works, crawled the first 3/8 then rifled home the next 3/8. His connections have always thought he was a special horse and this will be his chance in the Turf Mile Nov 1.
(PS. I am one of his connections…)

Silentio– 50 1.01:4 1.25

Haven’t really cared for any of his drills the last few months but bounced back to work in a big way here. He’s as good looking a horse as will run the weekend and ran huge in the Mile last year.

Big John B– 48:2 1.12:2

Broke 2 in front of stable mate Hay Dude with Mike Smith up and won by a head while going easy. He looked to be one of America’s better hopes in a race usually dominated by Euros until his disaster in the local prep. I think he will return to hiss Del mar races based on this work but whether that is good enough, we will see.

 

October 20

 

Footbridge -26 49:4 1.12:4 gallop out 1.27

Took a big step forward in his last and finished good to urging here. I have always thought this guy might improve with age and, while winning the Classic would be a reach, running 3rd or 4th is not out of the question and would make the exotics pay bigger.

Iotapa-48 1.12

Broke off 4 lengths behind stable mate Rocked Twice and 2 in front of fellow SW Majestic Harbor and there was good news and bad news as she caught her barnmate but got caught by Harbor at the wire and was well behind him in the gallop out.
She has been a wonderful claim but she was beating up on a suspect group locally and one gets the feeling she is on the other side of midnight.

Majestic Harbor- 47:3 1.11:2 out 1.25:4

Got slightly warm as is his custom and this usual good worker delivered a good drill while in hand most of the way for Tyler Baze. He bounces like a rubber ball when he runs but he’s in the deep end of the pool November 1

American Pharoah

Broke off 2 in front of Baffert maiden Front Range. If you timed him from the 5 1/2 furlong pole the watch said 46:4 1.10:3. If you took him from the 5/8 it was 34:4 58:3. Either way it was a wild work while in hand throughout.This is by far the leading candidate for California in the 2 year old division and though he doesn’t have much of a tail, he’s got a ton of ability.

Bayern -49 1.12:1

Broke off 2 in front of stable mate American Pride and went slow by Baffert’s standards to the top then kicked home ok to urging. He’s accomplished a lot this year but my gut feeling is in the speed heavy field he meets in the classic, he will come up wanting at the 1/8 pole.

Indianapolis & Secret Circle- 35:2 59:2 1.10:4 out 1.23:4

Worked together from the gate and as the fractions suggest, gradually picked it up after going easy the first 1/4. Secret Circle is the defendinfg Sprint champ and will be a tighter animal this time than in his recent comeback but “Indy” could be a live longshot because it was impossible to say which was best in this work.

 

October 21

 

One Lucky Dane- 47:3 1.12:3

Broke off 2 behind Madam Aamoura and this long striding colt got by her late but required urging to do so. He might be a nice sort down the road but between his barnmate American Pharoah and the 2 Pletcher monsters heading this way it would appear that this guy will not need to stop by the “Spit Box” on the way back to the barn.

October 24

Conquest Eclipse 49:2 –

Well in hand throughout with her ears up.

Majestic Presence -48:1 1.12:2 out in 1.27:2

Proved best over an unidentified work mate while under mild urging. Her gallop out left something to be desired so don’t be surprised if this one might wind up better around one turn.

Big Bane Theory- 35:4 59:2 out in 1.13:1

Was a little fresh going to pole with Rue de Cry and Artie’s Mint but Talamo got him to settle and he finished well while having his usual eye catching action. Always liked this guy and he may wind up being good on dirt as well.

Moreno –46:3 1.12:2 out in 1.26:4

Throttled a work mate but came up empty in the lane under T. Baze. His work for last year’s Classic was much better. Pass.

Goldencents- 47 59:2 1.12 to the 3/4 pole

Once again, I wasn’t thrilled with his work. Bejarano didn’t need to restrain him as in his drills last year. Perhaps he is figuring out the difference between practice and game day but I see him as a use but not as a single.

 

October 25

Prayer for Relief- 23:2 47:3

Nice mover has always done his best running at tracks that have barbed wire on the outside rail. Couldn’t knock this drill but he needs to pray for more than relief when he lays it down to sleep Halloween night.

Tiz Midnight- 34:4 59

Hard trying filly hasn’t put on any weight since her game runner up effort to Beholder but her drills have remained sharp. I can see her hitting the board in the Distaff if she gets a good trip.

Christina’s Journey- 1.00:2 out in 1.13:2

Worked during an extremely busy segment and I didn’t get to observe a lot but she looked fine and I had no knocks.

Golden Ticket –34:3 59 out 1.12:3

Compact black horse always catches the eye and bounces thru his works. He was in the bridle throughout in this work.

Fed Biz -23:2 47 out 1.00:2

Worked outside Gr 1 winner Declassify and looked slightly best while getting slightly warm on the neck. Has developed into a reliable sort and if he draws right, should be a factor in the Dirt Mile.

Candy Boy- 1.00:2 1.25:2

Dusted off stable mate Candy Anniversary in average fashion while doing his normal “lose focus” drift in after he clears his competition He’s a decent colt, but I don’t think he’s going to face that issue next Saturday afternoon.

Valiant Emilia -35:4 59:3

Started 3 lengths off Setsuko and caught him approaching the wire. Don’t know if this Peruvian filly can step with the league she’s facing but she has worked well for some time now.

Home Run Kitten- 12:2 35:2 59

Undersized sophomore continues to shine in the morning as he prepares for Turf Sprint. He worked good for his last upset and I didn’t pull the trigger as he paid a big mutual so the “I didn’t go to the wedding so I’m not goin to the funeral,” slogan may be in effect but I can’t deny he’s training well.

Big Macher- 47:4

Not as sharp as last weeks move and was making noise as well with Tyler Baze
Disappointing after a great work last week.

Stonetastic- 11;3 34 down to 7/8 pole in 46:1

Blew out like a wild filly and gave me Meafara flashbacks. Absolutely dragged Talamo around there in one of the sharpest “pure speed” drills I’ve seen in along time.

Rich Tapestry -36:1 1.00:3

Was only asked a short distance but finished well while coming between a couple other workers in a non planned team drill. Not bad

TURF WORKS (Times Fast Today)

Kaigun -36 1.00:2

Has spent much of the year chasing Wise Dan and he looked it in this drill. On a morning that the turf yielded fast times i was not impressed with this drill.

Ambitious Brew- 36:3 1.00:2

Sparingly raced filly looked sharp here with Mike Smith up. The Turf Sprint looks wide open here and she can’t be dismissed.

Danny Boy- 12:2 34:4 59

Another super drill for this pretty mover as he replicated last weeks dirt work with a turf spin. I have a lot of respect for Romans partner Tammi on a horse but she let this guy rip a little early here yet this guy never lost his rhythm and even galloped out super. A live longshot for sure

Obviously –34:1 58:2

Haven’t been wowed by his recent works but this was an improved drill, albeit a furlong shorter, as he had better rhythm down the stretch. Will be on the engine for sure, still don’t like his chances of holding on for the big prize.

Big John B- 37:2 1.01:3

Seems to have recovered from his last disaster and worked nicely again. Great claim will need his absolute best to contend but seems in fine fettle

Conquest Harlante & Conquest Typhoon 36:1 1.00:1

 “Am I the only one that has trouble keeping these “Conquest” beasts straight?
They worked in company, Nakatani on Harlante and looked even in an average team drill”

October 27

Parranda 48 out 1.01:4

This is her usual work and she seems to be doing well enough here but the water gets much deeper Nov 1 as the F&M Turf division locally doesn’t bring back Flawlessly-Toussad flashbacks….

Indianapolis 22:4 45:4

Started 2 behind Roundupthelute and caught him approaching the wire while under mild urging while making some noise. He is an undefeated well bred runner and his work last week with Secret Circle was terrific. I didn’t dislike this drill, but I didn’t like it as much as his previous work.

Palace 23:2 46:2

Looked decent getting a feel for the local surface. Has kept good company this year in NY and can’t be dismissed.

Stormy Lucy 24:3 48:3

Was vet scratched in the local prep and watching this work you can see why. Refused to change leads despite Bejarano’s numerous attempts. I guess I didn”t have much I liked about this work.

Sweet Reason 23 47

I didn’t like her prep for last years Cup and I didn’t care for this either. She was making noise and her coat looked a little dull. I was a huge fan of how easy she worn the Acorn on Belmont Day but maybe she doesn’t like California.

Private Zone 49:2

Went real easy in company after some rapid drills. The sprint is rarely won by a stone front runner and that seems to be his style. Yet, I can’t knock his works for this.

October 28

V.E. Day 25 48:2

Finished well in his only spin Jimmy Jerkens. Leggy 3 year old will be huge odds but there was nothing not to like in this drill.

Danette 36:1 1.00:2

Has a natural router stride and finished in hand here. I question the strength of the Chandelier but she did pass horses in that race and not many did that day.

Iotapa 35:4 1.00:4

Average final prep for a filly that may realize early on who Untappable and Close Hatches are mid afternoon Saturday

Many Euros and some major outfits had their horses on the track for the first time today and I hope to at least have comments on their looks

 

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SUZEE

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With almost 30 years of experiencing this exciting event,

let our COFFEEBREAKWITHFRIENDS team

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for any questions you may have concerning lodging,

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